OLC Digital Ratings
MLS · Soccer

MLS Cup Playoff Picture

If the regular season ended today · 18 Teams · East & West Updated Oct 11, 2026, 4:22 AM PT

Eastern Conference Field

SeedTeamOLC RatingRecordPointsStatus
1Nashville SC60.2319-3-663BYE
2Inter Miami54.5313-5-1049ROUND ONE
3NE Revolution51.6814-10-446ROUND ONE
4Charlotte52.9313-8-746ROUND ONE
5Chicago Fire53.4113-8-645ROUND ONE
6Philadelphia49.9411-10-639ROUND ONE
7Orlando City47.7211-13-437ROUND ONE
8FC Cincinnati49.689-9-936HOST WILD CARD
9RB New York47.1410-12-636AT #8

Playoff Cut Line

#9 Last Team In
RB New York
36 Points
47.14 OLC Rating
#10 First Team Out
NYCFC
33 Points
49.82 OLC Rating
Points Gap: 3

Western Conference Field

SeedTeamOLC RatingRecordPointsStatus
1Vancouver54.4214-7-648BYE
2St. Louis City53.7813-6-847ROUND ONE
3SJ Earthquakes52.8113-8-746ROUND ONE
4Houston51.3913-9-645ROUND ONE
5FC Dallas53.0012-7-844ROUND ONE
6LAFC52.0011-9-942ROUND ONE
7Seattle Sounders51.2211-8-841ROUND ONE
8Colorado Rapids48.0411-13-437HOST WILD CARD
9LA Galaxy47.849-10-936AT #8

Playoff Cut Line

#9 Last Team In
LA Galaxy
36 Points
47.84 OLC Rating
#10 First Team Out
Portland Timbers
33 Points
47.04 OLC Rating
Points Gap: 3

MLS Cup Playoffs

Current Bracket & OLC Predictions

Wild Card

#8 hosts #9 · single elimination, straight to penalties if level

Eastern Conference
9
RB New York10-12-6 · OLC 47.14
VS
8
FC Cincinnati9-9-9 · OLC 49.68
OLC PICK FC CincinnatiLikely
Western Conference
9
LA Galaxy9-10-9 · OLC 47.84
VS
8
Colorado Rapids11-13-4 · OLC 48.04
OLC PICK Colorado RapidsLean

Round One — Best-of-3 Series

Games 1 & 3 at the higher seed · Game 2 at the lower seed

Eastern Conference

#1 series -- Game 1 (at higher seed)
1
Nashville SC19-3-6 · OLC 60.23
VS
8
FC Cincinnati9-9-9 · OLC 49.68
Game 1 (at higher seed) · Nashville SC
Game 2 (at lower seed) · FC Cincinnati
Game 3, if necessary (at higher seed) · Nashville SC
Projected Series ResultNashville SC wins 2-0
#2 series -- Game 1 (at higher seed)
2
Inter Miami13-5-10 · OLC 54.53
VS
7
Orlando City11-13-4 · OLC 47.72
Game 1 (at higher seed) · Inter Miami
Game 2 (at lower seed) · Orlando City
Game 3, if necessary (at higher seed) · Inter Miami
Projected Series ResultInter Miami wins 2-0
#3 series -- Game 1 (at higher seed)
3
NE Revolution14-10-4 · OLC 51.68
VS
6
Philadelphia11-10-6 · OLC 49.94
Game 1 (at higher seed) · NE Revolution
Game 2 (at lower seed) · Philadelphia
Game 3, if necessary (at higher seed) · NE Revolution
Projected Series ResultNE Revolution wins 2-1
#4 series -- Game 1 (at higher seed)
4
Charlotte13-8-7 · OLC 52.93
VS
5
Chicago Fire13-8-6 · OLC 53.41
Game 1 (at higher seed) · Charlotte
Game 2 (at lower seed) · Chicago Fire
Game 3, if necessary (at higher seed) · Charlotte
Projected Series ResultCharlotte wins 2-1

Western Conference

#1 series -- Game 1 (at higher seed)
1
Vancouver14-7-6 · OLC 54.42
VS
8
Colorado Rapids11-13-4 · OLC 48.04
Game 1 (at higher seed) · Vancouver
Game 2 (at lower seed) · Colorado Rapids
Game 3, if necessary (at higher seed) · Vancouver
Projected Series ResultVancouver wins 2-0
#2 series -- Game 1 (at higher seed)
2
St. Louis City13-6-8 · OLC 53.78
VS
7
Seattle Sounders11-8-8 · OLC 51.22
Game 1 (at higher seed) · St. Louis City
Game 2 (at lower seed) · Seattle Sounders
Game 3, if necessary (at higher seed) · St. Louis City
Projected Series ResultSt. Louis City wins 2-0
#3 series -- Game 1 (at higher seed)
3
SJ Earthquakes13-8-7 · OLC 52.81
VS
6
LAFC11-9-9 · OLC 52.00
Game 1 (at higher seed) · SJ Earthquakes
Game 2 (at lower seed) · LAFC
Game 3, if necessary (at higher seed) · SJ Earthquakes
Projected Series ResultSJ Earthquakes wins 2-1
#4 series -- Game 1 (at higher seed)
4
Houston13-9-6 · OLC 51.39
VS
5
FC Dallas12-7-8 · OLC 53.00
Game 1 (at higher seed) · Houston
Game 2 (at lower seed) · FC Dallas
Game 3, if necessary (at higher seed) · Houston
Projected Series ResultHouston wins 2-1

Conference Semifinals

Reseeded · higher remaining seed hosts

Eastern Conference

1/8-9 winner vs. 4/5 winner
4
Charlotte13-8-7 · OLC 52.93
VS
1
Nashville SC19-3-6 · OLC 60.23
OLC PICK Nashville SCStrong
2/7 winner vs. 3/6 winner
3
NE Revolution14-10-4 · OLC 51.68
VS
2
Inter Miami13-5-10 · OLC 54.53
OLC PICK Inter MiamiLikely

Western Conference

1/8-9 winner vs. 4/5 winner
4
Houston13-9-6 · OLC 51.39
VS
1
Vancouver14-7-6 · OLC 54.42
OLC PICK VancouverLikely
2/7 winner vs. 3/6 winner
3
SJ Earthquakes13-8-7 · OLC 52.81
VS
2
St. Louis City13-6-8 · OLC 53.78
OLC PICK St. Louis CityLikely

Conference Finals

Eastern Conference Final
2
Inter Miami13-5-10 · OLC 54.53
VS
1
Nashville SC19-3-6 · OLC 60.23
OLC PICK Nashville SCStrong
Western Conference Final
2
St. Louis City13-6-8 · OLC 53.78
VS
1
Vancouver14-7-6 · OLC 54.42
OLC PICK VancouverLikely

MLS Cup

Eastern Conference Champion
Vancouver
VS
Western Conference Champion
Nashville SC
OLC Win Probability
15%85%
OLC PickNashville SC
ConfidenceStrong
OLC Projected MLS Cup Champion
Nashville SC
Methodology. The current field is seeded entirely from today’s actual East/West standings, never a projection. The 18-team field (9 per conference), Wild Card game, and best-of-3 Round One all follow MLS’s real current-season playoff format -- #8 hosts #9 in a single Wild Card game, the winner joins seeds 1-7 in an 8-team bracket, and Round One is a genuine best-of-3 series (not aggregate goals).