NWSL · Soccer

NWSL Playoff Picture

Projected Playoff Field · Where OLC projects the regular-season standings to finish · 8 Teams · Single-Elimination Playoffs Updated Oct 5, 2026, 12:17 AM PT

Seed	Team	OLC Rating	Record	Points	Status
1	Gotham FC	56.41	19-4-7	64	HOME
2	San Diego Wave	54.50	19-8-3	60	HOME
3	Washington Spirit	53.75	16-10-4	52	HOME
4	Utah Royals	52.28	16-10-4	52	HOME
5	Portland Thorns	52.43	15-8-7	52	AWAY
6	Kansas City Current	52.23	15-10-5	50	AWAY
7	Angel City FC	53.51	14-9-7	49	AWAY
8	Seattle Reign	50.67	14-12-4	46	AWAY

Playoff Cut Line

#8 Projected Last Team In

Seattle Reign

46 Points

50.67 OLC Rating

#9 Projected First Team Out

NC Courage

45 Points

50.95 OLC Rating

Points Gap: 1

Quarterfinals

Seattle Reign14-12-4 · OLC 50.67

Gotham FC19-4-7 · OLC 56.41

16%

84%

OLC PICK Gotham FCStrong

Portland Thorns15-8-7 · OLC 52.43

Utah Royals16-10-4 · OLC 52.28

38%

62%

OLC PICK Utah RoyalsLean

Angel City FC14-9-7 · OLC 53.51

San Diego Wave19-8-3 · OLC 54.50

33%

67%

OLC PICK San Diego WaveLean

Kansas City Current15-10-5 · OLC 52.23

Washington Spirit16-10-4 · OLC 53.75

30%

70%

OLC PICK Washington SpiritLean

Semifinals

Projected Matchup — these teams have not necessarily advanced yet

Utah Royals16-10-4 · OLC 52.28

Gotham FC19-4-7 · OLC 56.41

20%

80%

OLC PICK Gotham FCLikely

Washington Spirit16-10-4 · OLC 53.75

San Diego Wave19-8-3 · OLC 54.50

34%

66%

OLC PICK San Diego WaveLean

NWSL Championship

Audi Field, Washington, D.C.

San Diego Wave

Gotham FC

Championship Game Win Probability

40%60%

OLC PickGotham FC

ConfidenceToss-up

OLC Projected NWSL Champion

Gotham FC

Methodology. The projected field is seeded entirely from the workbook’s Projected Standings (OLC’s rest-of-season simulation), never from today’s actual standings. Matchup win probabilities use OLC’s no-draw advancement model, since a playoff game has to produce a winner.