OLC Digital Ratings
NWSL · Soccer

NWSL Playoff Picture

Current Playoff Field · If the season ended today · 8 Teams · Single-Elimination Playoffs Updated Oct 5, 2026, 12:17 AM PT
SeedTeamOLC RatingRecordPointsStatus
1Gotham FC56.4116-4-755HOME
2San Diego Wave54.5016-8-351HOME
3Washington Spirit53.7515-8-449HOME
4Utah Royals52.2814-9-446HOME
5Kansas City Current52.2313-9-544AWAY
6Angel City FC53.5112-8-743AWAY
7Portland Thorns52.4312-8-743AWAY
8NC Courage50.9513-11-342AWAY

Playoff Cut Line

#8 Last Team In
NC Courage
42 Points
50.95 OLC Rating
#9 First Team Out
Seattle Reign
40 Points
50.67 OLC Rating
Points Gap: 2

Quarterfinals

8
NC Courage13-11-3 · OLC 50.95
VS
1
Gotham FC16-4-7 · OLC 56.41
OLC PICK Gotham FCStrong
5
Kansas City Current13-9-5 · OLC 52.23
VS
4
Utah Royals14-9-4 · OLC 52.28
OLC PICK Utah RoyalsLean
7
Portland Thorns12-8-7 · OLC 52.43
VS
2
San Diego Wave16-8-3 · OLC 54.50
OLC PICK San Diego WaveLikely
6
Angel City FC12-8-7 · OLC 53.51
VS
3
Washington Spirit15-8-4 · OLC 53.75
OLC PICK Washington SpiritLean

Semifinals

Projected Matchup — these teams have not necessarily advanced yet

4
Utah Royals14-9-4 · OLC 52.28
VS
1
Gotham FC16-4-7 · OLC 56.41
OLC PICK Gotham FCLikely
3
Washington Spirit15-8-4 · OLC 53.75
VS
2
San Diego Wave16-8-3 · OLC 54.50
OLC PICK San Diego WaveLean

NWSL Championship

Audi Field, Washington, D.C.
San Diego Wave
VS
Gotham FC
Championship Game Win Probability
40%60%
OLC PickGotham FC
ConfidenceToss-up
OLC Projected NWSL Champion
Gotham FC
Methodology. The current field is seeded entirely from today’s actual standings, never a projection. Matchup win probabilities use OLC’s no-draw advancement model, since a playoff game has to produce a winner.